Lexington, Kentucky, October 22, 2025
News Summary
As temperatures drop in Lexington, Kentucky, residents can expect their first trace of snow by mid-to-late November. Historical data reveals that the city averages its first snow around November 12, with measurable snowfall anticipated to follow. The recent mild temperatures could shift dramatically due to autumn storms. With the chance for frost and hard freezes looming, residents are encouraged to prepare their gardens and homes for the impending winter conditions.
Lexington, Kentucky is set to experience its first trace of snow around mid-to-late November, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). With colder weather imminent, residents can expect varying snow patterns across the state. Historical averages indicate that Lexington typically sees its first trace of snow on November 12, while Louisville usually records this on November 15, and Bowling Green not until November 29.
For those hoping for measurable snow that exceeds a tenth of an inch, Lexington averages this snowfall on November 29, with Louisville seeing its first measurable accumulation by December 6, and Bowling Green a bit later on December 23. Statistically, an inch of snow tends to arrive in Lexington by December 19, Louisville by December 26, and Bowling Green by December 31.
Currently, the temperatures in Lexington have been relatively mild, remaining in the 70s, and reaching highs of around 80 degrees. Forecasters have predicted a wave of autumn storms, which may lower temperatures below the seasonal average. It is also expected that the first autumn frost could appear next week under the right conditions. Frost typically forms when air temperatures drop to between 33 and 36 degrees Fahrenheit with light winds, and this phenomenon can potentially harm sensitive plants. Hard freezes, occurring at temperatures below 32 degrees, pose an even greater risk to agricultural crops and plumbing systems.
Lexington’s high temperatures for the week are around or above 70 degrees, but the forecast includes the potential for showers and thunderstorms over the weekend, leading to a significant drop in temperatures. Notably, the NWS has recorded that historical data indicates a 90% chance of temperatures retreating to around 36 degrees Fahrenheit by October 30, increasing the likelihood of frost as we transition further into November.
Significant snowfall isn’t anticipated until January, likely due to prevailing La Niña conditions. However, forecasters are tracking a possibility of light wintry precipitation occurring on November 21, along with an expected chill in temperatures. Transportation officials have issued a reminder that wintry weather may bring hazardous driving conditions, especially in northern and central Kentucky.
Residents are advised to prepare accordingly for the impending changes in weather. Taking precautions now can help mitigate the effects of frost and hard freezes on both gardens and infrastructure.
Average Snowfall Dates in Kentucky
| Location | Average First Trace of Snow | Average First Measurable Snow | Average First Inch of Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | November 12 | November 29 | December 19 |
| Louisville | November 15 | December 6 | December 26 |
| Bowling Green | November 29 | December 23 | December 31 |
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
When is the first trace of snow expected in Kentucky?
The first trace of snow in Kentucky is predicted around mid-to-late November.
What are the average first snowfall dates for Lexington, Louisville, and Bowling Green?
The average first trace of snow dates are November 12 for Lexington, November 15 for Louisville, and November 29 for Bowling Green. The average first measurable snow occurs on November 29 in Lexington, December 6 in Louisville, and December 23 in Bowling Green.
What is the chance of experiencing frost in late October and early November?
Historical averages show a 90% chance of temperatures falling to 36 degrees Fahrenheit by October 30, increasing the likelihood of frost.
When can significant snowfall be expected in Kentucky?
Significant snowfall is expected to be delayed until January due to current La Niña conditions.
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Additional Resources
- The Gleaner
- Kentucky.com
- WHAS11
- WNKY
- WYMT
- Wikipedia: Weather in Kentucky
- Google Search: Kentucky weather forecast
- Google Scholar: Kentucky winter weather predictions
- Encyclopedia Britannica: Kentucky weather
- Google News: Kentucky snowfall



